Real Juvencia vs Oriamendi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
25.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Juvencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1944 |
RJU
2 - 0
GIM
50%
21%
29%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1944 |
ORI
2 - 1
RJU
74%
15%
12%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 1944 |
AVI
2 - 0
RJU
61%
19%
20%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1944 |
RJU
4 - 2
BUR
34%
22%
44%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | +4 |
| 09 Jan. 1944 |
TAN
1 - 2
RJU
39%
23%
39%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Oriamendi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1944 |
BAR
4 - 2
ORI
29%
23%
49%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1944 |
ORI
2 - 1
RJU
74%
15%
12%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 1944 |
ORI
1 - 0
BUR
53%
20%
27%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1944 |
RAC
0 - 1
ORI
86%
9%
5%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 1944 |
ORI
4 - 1
POP
82%
11%
7%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |