Real Jaén vs Xerez CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
16.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1984 |
RJA
4 - 1
AGD
65%
22%
13%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1984 |
ANT
0 - 2
RJA
56%
25%
19%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1984 |
RJA
2 - 0
ALC
59%
25%
15%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +2 |
| 18 Dec. 1983 |
HOS
1 - 3
RJA
45%
28%
27%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1983 |
RJA
2 - 0
ALC
66%
22%
13%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Xerez CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1984 |
ALB
3 - 1
XER
55%
27%
19%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1984 |
XER
1 - 1
BAL
79%
15%
6%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1984 |
PBL
0 - 2
XER
45%
29%
27%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1983 |
XER
3 - 2
CDB
69%
21%
10%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1983 |
TAL
1 - 1
XER
45%
29%
27%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |