Real Jaén vs Vélez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
13.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
ALH
0 - 3
RJA
28%
25%
48%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
RJA
8 - 0
CDR
77%
15%
8%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 1
RJA
19%
24%
57%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2019 |
RJA
5 - 0
RIV
86%
11%
4%
|
36 | 12 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2018 |
LIN
1 - 0
RJA
43%
25%
32%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Vélez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
VEL
2 - 0
LOJ
47%
24%
28%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
UDS
0 - 0
VEL
17%
22%
61%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
VEL
2 - 1
ANT
29%
25%
46%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 07 Jan. 2019 |
JUV
1 - 2
VEL
44%
24%
32%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2018 |
VEL
2 - 1
ALH
60%
22%
19%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |