Real Jaén vs Valencia Mestalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
35.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1968 |
CEU
2 - 2
RJA
69%
19%
12%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
RJA
2 - 1
CAS
49%
27%
25%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
CDT
2 - 0
RJA
69%
19%
12%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1968 |
HER
4 - 0
RJA
80%
14%
7%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1968 |
RJA
0 - 0
MLL
33%
29%
38%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1968 |
VAL
2 - 0
HER
55%
23%
22%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
MLL
1 - 0
VAL
61%
23%
17%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1968 |
VAL
3 - 0
ALC
76%
15%
9%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1968 |
CAD
1 - 0
VAL
52%
25%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1968 |
VAL
2 - 0
LEV
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |