Real Jaén vs Valencia Mestalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
CEU
2 - 0
RJA
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
RJA
1 - 0
SFE
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
RJA
2 - 2
RAY
64%
20%
17%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
CCF
0 - 2
RJA
69%
18%
13%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
RJA
2 - 1
CAD
50%
22%
28%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
VAL
4 - 1
CFC
79%
13%
8%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
HER
3 - 5
VAL
66%
19%
15%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1961 |
VAL
0 - 1
ATM
32%
24%
44%
|
58 | 87 | 29 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1961 |
ATM
2 - 0
VAL
90%
7%
3%
|
59 | 87 | 28 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
VAL
9 - 3
CAD
57%
22%
21%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +2 |