Real Jaén vs Universidad LPGC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
30.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
BET
4 - 0
RJA
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
RJA
1 - 1
ECI
50%
27%
24%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
MAR
0 - 2
RJA
41%
28%
32%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
RJA
1 - 0
CDL
52%
26%
22%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
AGD
1 - 0
RJA
50%
27%
24%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Universidad LPGC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
ULP
1 - 0
MEL
60%
24%
17%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
JER
2 - 0
ULP
37%
29%
34%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
ULP
3 - 0
MER
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
ULP
0 - 1
CER
80%
14%
6%
|
56 | 27 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
CDB
1 - 0
ULP
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |