Real Jaén vs Marbella FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
17.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
13.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
20.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
06 Dec. 2009 |
JER
0 - 1
RJA
21%
28%
51%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
29 Nov. 2009 |
RJA
2 - 0
LOR
43%
29%
28%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
22 Nov. 2009 |
CIU
3 - 2
RJA
29%
29%
42%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
15 Nov. 2009 |
RJA
3 - 1
AGU
49%
29%
23%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
08 Nov. 2009 |
AGD
1 - 0
RJA
46%
28%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Marbella FC
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
05 Dec. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 3
CFB
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
29 Nov. 2009 |
MOR
0 - 1
MAR
26%
28%
47%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
22 Nov. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 1
IMP
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
15 Nov. 2009 |
ROQ
1 - 1
MAR
50%
26%
24%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
10 Nov. 2009 |
ATM
6 - 0
MAR
89%
9%
2%
|
52 | 88 | 36 | 0 |