Real Jaén vs Lanzarote analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.3%
29%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
32.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
ULP
1 - 1
RJA
50%
27%
23%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
RJA
4 - 0
BET
48%
27%
25%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
ECI
1 - 0
RJA
45%
29%
27%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
RJA
2 - 0
MAR
49%
27%
24%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
CDL
0 - 0
RJA
39%
30%
31%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lanzarote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
LAN
0 - 1
MEL
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
JER
1 - 0
LAN
32%
30%
38%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
LAN
1 - 0
MER
74%
16%
10%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
CDB
4 - 2
LAN
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
LAN
0 - 0
VEC
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |