Tercera Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 1-3
Real Jaén vs UD Yugo Socuéllamos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
33.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
HUE
0 - 0
RJA
20%
25%
55%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
RJA
2 - 1
TOR
65%
20%
15%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
UDS
0 - 2
RJA
18%
25%
57%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
RJA
1 - 1
ALM
39%
27%
34%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
MAN
2 - 1
RJA
46%
26%
28%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
UD Yugo Socuéllamos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 0
UDS
43%
25%
32%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
UDS
1 - 1
AZU
81%
13%
7%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
ALM
0 - 0
UDS
13%
20%
67%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
CIU
1 - 1
UDS
26%
23%
51%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
UDS
3 - 1
ROD
81%
13%
7%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |