Real Jaén vs San Roque de Lepe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
16.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
19%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
SEV
0 - 2
RJA
43%
28%
30%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
RJA
4 - 0
EST
52%
28%
21%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
RJA
0 - 1
MEL
44%
30%
26%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
CFB
0 - 0
RJA
26%
28%
46%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
RJA
1 - 1
MOR
61%
25%
14%
|
62 | 34 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
San Roque de Lepe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
SRQ
0 - 2
CFB
58%
22%
21%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
MOR
1 - 1
SRQ
22%
26%
52%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
SRQ
3 - 0
IMP
37%
27%
36%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
ROQ
2 - 0
SRQ
54%
24%
22%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
SRQ
2 - 1
POL
17%
25%
58%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | +1 |