Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 0-3
Real Jaén vs Recreativo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
27.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1973 |
RJA
1 - 1
CDO
64%
22%
14%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1973 |
AMA
2 - 0
RJA
41%
32%
27%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 1973 |
RJA
3 - 0
XER
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
RJA
3 - 0
ELD
56%
26%
19%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
CDB
1 - 0
RJA
65%
22%
13%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1973 |
REC
2 - 1
XER
60%
25%
15%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1973 |
BAL
0 - 0
REC
43%
31%
26%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1973 |
REC
2 - 0
SFE
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
REC
4 - 1
ALM
40%
29%
31%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
PUE
0 - 2
REC
58%
26%
16%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +2 |