Real Jaén vs Recreativo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
17%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
CAD
2 - 1
RJA
55%
22%
23%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1961 |
RJA
3 - 0
ALB
72%
16%
12%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
GRA
1 - 0
RJA
71%
17%
12%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
RJA
0 - 1
CCF
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
MUR
3 - 0
RJA
58%
22%
20%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
REC
0 - 0
CFC
78%
13%
9%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1961 |
HER
1 - 0
REC
71%
17%
12%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
REC
4 - 2
LEV
51%
23%
26%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
MAL
4 - 1
REC
63%
20%
17%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
REC
3 - 1
UDL
48%
25%
28%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |