Real Jaén vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
56%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
FCB
0 - 3
RJA
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
RJA
1 - 2
MIR
40%
30%
30%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
HER
0 - 1
RJA
63%
23%
14%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
RJA
1 - 0
ALC
25%
29%
46%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2013 |
RJA
2 - 0
DEP
16%
24%
60%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | +2 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
ZAR
1 - 2
NUM
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
EIB
3 - 2
ZAR
19%
26%
55%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
ZAR
2 - 2
ALA
70%
20%
11%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
DEP
1 - 1
ZAR
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
ZAR
2 - 1
PON
59%
24%
18%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |