Real Jaén vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
14.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1959 |
PUL
1 - 1
RJA
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1959 |
CDT
0 - 0
RJA
52%
24%
25%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1959 |
VAD
4 - 0
RJA
82%
11%
7%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1959 |
RJA
1 - 0
EXT
73%
16%
11%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1959 |
LEV
4 - 1
RJA
55%
22%
22%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1959 |
MUR
2 - 0
EXT
65%
20%
16%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1959 |
LEV
3 - 0
MUR
63%
21%
17%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1959 |
MUR
0 - 0
SAB
51%
22%
27%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1959 |
MUR
1 - 2
CAD
69%
17%
13%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1959 |
HER
2 - 1
MUR
60%
21%
19%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |