Real Jaén vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
10%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1954 |
CAT
3 - 2
RJA
54%
21%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1954 |
BAR
3 - 2
RJA
54%
20%
27%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1954 |
RJA
0 - 1
HER
72%
15%
13%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 1954 |
RJA
4 - 3
LLE
79%
12%
9%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 1954 |
OSA
8 - 4
RJA
63%
18%
19%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1954 |
MUR
3 - 0
UDE
65%
18%
17%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
MUR
2 - 3
HER
56%
21%
22%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
CAT
0 - 0
MUR
73%
16%
12%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1954 |
MAL
5 - 0
MUR
77%
14%
9%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
MUR
2 - 1
UDE
64%
19%
17%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |