Real Jaén vs Real Murcia Imperial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.6%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
22.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
ROQ
0 - 3
RJA
38%
28%
34%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
RJA
2 - 0
GRA
43%
30%
28%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
BET
2 - 0
RJA
29%
29%
42%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
RJA
3 - 2
MAR
51%
29%
20%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
JER
0 - 1
RJA
21%
28%
51%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia Imperial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
IMP
1 - 1
CFB
46%
26%
29%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
MOR
2 - 2
IMP
23%
25%
52%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
IMP
0 - 2
MEL
37%
28%
35%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
ROQ
0 - 2
IMP
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
IMP
1 - 2
POL
23%
28%
50%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |