Real Jaén vs Racing Ferrol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
17.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
11.7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
RJA
1 - 1
TER
55%
27%
19%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
OSA
4 - 2
RJA
74%
17%
9%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
RJA
2 - 3
CAD
43%
29%
28%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
RJA
0 - 0
MAL
42%
30%
28%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1979 |
GDE
2 - 0
RJA
63%
23%
14%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1979 |
RCF
0 - 1
MAL
38%
30%
32%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
GDE
5 - 0
RCF
71%
19%
10%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1979 |
RCF
0 - 0
ALG
53%
28%
20%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
MUR
0 - 0
RCF
75%
16%
8%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
RCF
1 - 1
ELC
38%
31%
32%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |