Real Jaén vs Poli Almería analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.5%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.6%
4.8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
ATL
0 - 1
RJA
13%
21%
66%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
RJA
6 - 1
ALH
83%
11%
6%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
MAN
1 - 0
RJA
19%
22%
59%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
RJA
2 - 0
MAL
55%
23%
22%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
HUE
2 - 2
RJA
19%
22%
59%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Poli Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
POL
2 - 2
LOJ
30%
23%
47%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 2
POL
51%
23%
27%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
POL
2 - 2
ANT
16%
21%
63%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
TOR
4 - 0
POL
77%
14%
9%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
POL
1 - 4
CDE
15%
20%
65%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | -1 |