Real Jaén vs CF Motril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
15.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
EST
0 - 1
RJA
20%
25%
55%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
RJA
3 - 0
MOT
57%
23%
19%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
MEL
2 - 1
RJA
28%
24%
48%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -2 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
RJA
2 - 0
ALH
65%
21%
15%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
RJA
1 - 0
EST
74%
17%
9%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
CF Motril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
MOT
2 - 1
MAL
46%
23%
30%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
MOT
1 - 1
CRD
38%
23%
39%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
MOT
4 - 3
ALM
38%
25%
38%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
MOT
0 - 1
MAN
45%
25%
30%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
MOT
2 - 0
ATA
78%
14%
8%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |