Real Jaén vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
+3
7.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
19.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
MAR
0 - 2
RJA
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
RJA
2 - 1
VIL
66%
21%
13%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
MER
1 - 0
RJA
30%
29%
42%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
RJA
2 - 0
BAZ
42%
28%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
CAR
3 - 0
RJA
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
MEL
2 - 1
VVA
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
ECI
1 - 0
MEL
51%
27%
21%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
MEL
2 - 0
MAL
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
GRA
1 - 0
MEL
48%
26%
26%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
MEL
0 - 0
CER
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |