Real Jaén vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
19.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1990 |
RJA
3 - 1
TOM
53%
26%
22%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1990 |
CDT
2 - 2
RJA
18%
27%
55%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1989 |
RJA
2 - 0
MAR
63%
22%
15%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1989 |
UTR
0 - 0
RJA
48%
27%
25%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1989 |
RJA
1 - 0
EST
67%
20%
13%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1990 |
ALB
0 - 1
MEL
75%
17%
8%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1990 |
MEL
1 - 0
MER
56%
26%
19%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1989 |
TEL
0 - 0
MEL
56%
25%
19%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1989 |
TOM
1 - 2
MEL
60%
25%
15%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1989 |
MEL
2 - 0
BAL
50%
27%
23%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |