Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 6-2
Real Jaén vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.1%
21.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1953 |
BAL
2 - 1
RJA
58%
20%
22%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1953 |
RJA
1 - 0
CAT
63%
19%
18%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1953 |
UDL
4 - 0
RJA
69%
17%
14%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1953 |
RJA
3 - 2
MUR
64%
18%
18%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1953 |
CPC
2 - 1
RJA
37%
22%
41%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1953 |
MEL
0 - 0
UDL
46%
22%
32%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1953 |
MEL
3 - 0
CPC
82%
11%
7%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1953 |
ALC
6 - 3
MEL
62%
19%
19%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Feb. 1953 |
PUL
2 - 1
MEL
51%
22%
27%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1953 |
MEL
1 - 1
MLL
67%
17%
16%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |