Real Jaén vs CF Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
27%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
13.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1986 |
MNC
1 - 2
RJA
57%
25%
19%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
RJA
1 - 1
ALC
55%
26%
19%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
CCF
3 - 1
RJA
54%
26%
20%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 1986 |
PBL
1 - 0
RJA
55%
25%
20%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
RJA
5 - 0
TAL
57%
25%
18%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
CF Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1986 |
LOR
3 - 2
TAL
50%
29%
22%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
AGD
2 - 0
LOR
72%
18%
10%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
LOR
2 - 1
LEV
45%
29%
25%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1986 |
BET
3 - 0
LOR
68%
20%
12%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
LOR
0 - 2
BAL
35%
30%
35%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |