Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 1-3
Real Jaén vs Linares CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
9.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
RJA
5 - 0
CDB
71%
19%
9%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
PUE
2 - 1
RJA
57%
25%
18%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 1979 |
RJA
1 - 0
ALA
45%
29%
25%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 1979 |
SAB
4 - 0
RJA
66%
21%
13%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
RJA
3 - 0
BAR
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Linares CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
IBI
1 - 2
LIN
50%
30%
21%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1979 |
LIN
1 - 0
CDZ
53%
28%
19%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 1979 |
SEV
1 - 0
LIN
67%
22%
12%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1979 |
LIN
2 - 1
OLI
70%
21%
10%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1979 |
CDZ
0 - 1
LIN
65%
23%
12%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |