Real Jaén vs Iliturgi CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.9%
8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1947 |
CRE
1 - 1
RJA
39%
23%
39%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1947 |
RJA
4 - 0
ELD
87%
8%
5%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1947 |
RJA
5 - 1
ALM
94%
4%
2%
|
39 | 16 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1947 |
CAA
1 - 1
RJA
53%
21%
26%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1947 |
EGA
6 - 3
RJA
37%
23%
40%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | -4 |
Matches
Iliturgi CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1947 |
ALG
2 - 0
ILI
79%
12%
9%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1947 |
ILI
7 - 1
CAT
44%
22%
34%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +4 |
| 28 Sep. 1947 |
SDC
2 - 2
ILI
90%
7%
3%
|
25 | 54 | 29 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1947 |
ILI
3 - 0
EME
83%
11%
7%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |