Real Jaén vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
35.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1958 |
VAD
3 - 1
RJA
68%
17%
15%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1958 |
RJA
3 - 2
ATH
25%
23%
52%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1958 |
SPO
1 - 0
RJA
67%
18%
16%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1958 |
RJA
0 - 1
RSO
47%
24%
29%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1958 |
RMA
3 - 0
RJA
88%
8%
4%
|
70 | 90 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1958 |
ESP
2 - 1
FCB
29%
24%
46%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1958 |
VCF
2 - 1
ESP
65%
19%
16%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1958 |
ESP
2 - 3
SEV
50%
22%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1958 |
GRA
1 - 0
ESP
33%
26%
41%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1958 |
ESP
2 - 0
OSA
62%
20%
18%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |