Real Jaén vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
18.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
MUR
2 - 0
RJA
61%
21%
18%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1961 |
RJA
0 - 1
LEV
56%
22%
22%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
CEU
4 - 0
RJA
59%
22%
20%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
RJA
2 - 0
EXT
69%
17%
14%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
HER
5 - 1
RJA
64%
20%
17%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
SFE
2 - 1
PUL
45%
25%
30%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1961 |
CAD
1 - 0
SFE
62%
21%
18%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
SFE
1 - 2
CCF
44%
26%
31%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
CDT
1 - 0
SFE
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
SFE
1 - 0
LEV
49%
24%
28%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |