Real Jaén vs Atlético Baleares analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
13.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1953 |
GRA
3 - 1
RJA
54%
22%
24%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1953 |
RJA
5 - 0
ALC
63%
19%
18%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1953 |
RCD
1 - 1
RJA
64%
18%
18%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1953 |
VAL
0 - 1
RJA
67%
17%
16%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 1953 |
RJA
2 - 0
HER
62%
19%
19%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Baleares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1953 |
ATB
1 - 2
CAT
55%
21%
24%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1953 |
ATB
1 - 1
GRA
59%
20%
21%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1953 |
MUR
4 - 1
ATB
70%
16%
14%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1953 |
MLL
1 - 1
ATB
66%
18%
16%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1952 |
ATB
1 - 3
MEL
56%
20%
23%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |