Real Jaén vs Caudal Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
13.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
RJA
2 - 0
UCA
71%
20%
10%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
BET
0 - 0
RJA
26%
30%
44%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
RJA
5 - 0
VIL
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
PON
2 - 0
RJA
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
RJA
2 - 1
PON
34%
28%
38%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Caudal Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
CAU
0 - 1
CDG
36%
28%
36%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
ATB
1 - 2
CAU
62%
23%
15%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
CAU
2 - 0
MAR
62%
22%
16%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
CAU
1 - 1
RMC
67%
20%
13%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
CAU
0 - 0
GIM
46%
25%
30%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |