Real Jaén vs CP Cacereño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
23.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
MAN
1 - 0
RJA
30%
29%
41%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
RJA
2 - 1
GRA
47%
29%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
BET
0 - 2
RJA
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
RJA
2 - 0
DHE
59%
24%
17%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1999 |
XER
1 - 1
RJA
39%
28%
32%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CP Cacereño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
CPC
3 - 1
JER
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
TAL
1 - 1
CPC
44%
27%
30%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
CPC
2 - 0
SEV
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
BAL
3 - 2
CPC
28%
27%
45%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1999 |
CPC
0 - 1
CAD
42%
27%
31%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |