Real Jaén vs Mérida UD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
15.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
CDB
1 - 0
RJA
56%
25%
20%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
RJA
0 - 1
LAN
39%
29%
33%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
ULP
1 - 1
RJA
50%
27%
23%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
RJA
4 - 0
BET
48%
27%
25%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
ECI
1 - 0
RJA
45%
29%
27%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Mérida UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
MER
1 - 1
MEL
23%
30%
48%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
JER
2 - 0
MER
58%
25%
17%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
MER
0 - 0
VEC
24%
30%
47%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
MER
0 - 1
CDB
25%
30%
45%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
LAN
1 - 0
MER
74%
16%
10%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | 0 |