Real Jaén vs Mérida UD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
22.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
CIU
2 - 1
RJA
54%
26%
20%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
RJA
2 - 3
EXT
31%
29%
40%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2003 |
ECI
1 - 1
RJA
36%
31%
33%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
RJA
2 - 2
SEV
55%
26%
19%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
CPC
4 - 2
RJA
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Mérida UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
MER
0 - 0
MAL
37%
30%
34%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
ALG
1 - 1
MER
53%
26%
21%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
MER
0 - 0
BET
44%
28%
28%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
CAD
1 - 0
MER
54%
26%
20%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
MER
1 - 0
JER
40%
29%
31%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |