Real Jaén vs CD Basconia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
20.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1962 |
VAL
4 - 0
RJA
64%
19%
17%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1962 |
RJA
2 - 0
MEL
83%
11%
6%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1962 |
SEV
1 - 1
RJA
43%
23%
34%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
RJA
3 - 0
SFE
67%
18%
15%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1962 |
RJA
3 - 0
ELD
78%
13%
9%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1962 |
BAS
5 - 0
PON
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1962 |
SLA
2 - 1
BAS
57%
21%
23%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1962 |
BAS
2 - 1
CDO
42%
27%
31%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
RSO
7 - 2
BAS
73%
16%
11%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1962 |
BAS
1 - 0
SPO
52%
23%
26%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |