Real Jaén vs Mancha Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
7.8%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CRD
1 - 1
RJA
25%
28%
48%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
RJA
0 - 0
LIN
60%
24%
17%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
REC
0 - 0
RJA
46%
29%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
RJA
5 - 2
BAL
40%
27%
34%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +2 |
| 08 Aug. 2016 |
LOJ
0 - 1
RJA
21%
28%
51%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 2
MAR
17%
24%
59%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 1
MAN
71%
20%
9%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
EXT
5 - 0
MAN
53%
25%
22%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
MAN
2 - 1
SAN
33%
27%
40%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
GRA
1 - 1
MAN
83%
12%
5%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |