Real Jaén vs Arenas de Armilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
8.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
68
1º
5º
2º
39
1º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CDT
0 - 2
RJA
29%
28%
43%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
RJA
0 - 0
TOR
69%
17%
14%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
HUE
0 - 1
RJA
39%
26%
35%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
RJA
7 - 1
ATL
80%
14%
7%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
RJA
21%
25%
54%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Arenas de Armilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
ARE
1 - 2
HUE
29%
24%
47%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
CHM
0 - 4
ARE
9%
16%
75%
|
25 | 8 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ARE
1 - 0
ALM
23%
22%
55%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
MAL
2 - 0
ARE
71%
17%
12%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CDM
1 - 1
ARE
27%
23%
50%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -1 |