Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 1-6
Real Jaén vs AD Almería analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
37.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1981 |
REU
2 - 1
RJA
38%
34%
28%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
VAL
1 - 2
RJA
43%
33%
25%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +2 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
RJA
1 - 1
MER
67%
22%
11%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1981 |
FCA
2 - 0
RJA
53%
27%
20%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1981 |
RJA
1 - 0
GIM
66%
23%
11%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
AD Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1981 |
ALM
1 - 1
ALA
69%
20%
12%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
ALM
3 - 1
ZAR
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1981 |
SLA
2 - 1
ALM
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1981 |
ALM
2 - 5
FCB
27%
27%
46%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
HER
1 - 0
ALM
60%
24%
17%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |