Real Jaén vs Alcoyano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
11.9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1986 |
RJA
2 - 0
ORI
54%
27%
20%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1985 |
PUE
1 - 1
RJA
63%
23%
15%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
RJA
0 - 1
ALG
61%
24%
15%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1985 |
LOR
5 - 0
RJA
48%
29%
24%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1985 |
RJA
1 - 0
MNC
66%
22%
12%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1986 |
TAL
3 - 0
ALC
54%
28%
18%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1985 |
ALC
0 - 0
AGD
61%
24%
16%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
LEV
2 - 0
ALC
67%
22%
11%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1985 |
ALC
0 - 2
BET
71%
19%
10%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1985 |
BAL
2 - 1
ALC
74%
17%
9%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |