Real Jaén vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
25.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1979 |
SAB
4 - 0
RJA
66%
21%
13%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
RJA
3 - 0
BAR
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 May. 1979 |
GRA
0 - 0
RJA
68%
21%
11%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1979 |
RJA
3 - 1
VAD
42%
30%
29%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +2 |
| 13 May. 1979 |
RMC
1 - 1
RJA
74%
17%
9%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1979 |
VCF
3 - 0
ALA
81%
12%
7%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1979 |
ALA
2 - 0
MAL
50%
26%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
GDE
2 - 1
ALA
56%
25%
18%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1979 |
ALA
2 - 0
ALG
64%
23%
13%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 May. 1979 |
MUR
2 - 2
ALA
55%
26%
19%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |