Real Jaén vs AgD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.1%
30.2%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.2%
30.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
BET
1 - 0
RJA
44%
27%
29%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
RJA
2 - 0
POR
35%
28%
37%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
MAR
1 - 0
RJA
43%
27%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
RJA
1 - 0
MAZ
58%
24%
19%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
LOR
2 - 0
RJA
71%
18%
11%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
AGD
1 - 1
ALG
61%
24%
14%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
ALC
0 - 0
AGD
30%
30%
40%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
AGD
4 - 3
MER
49%
28%
23%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
AGU
2 - 0
AGD
51%
26%
24%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
AGD
0 - 2
CAR
43%
29%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |