Real Jaén Sub 19 B vs La Mosca Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
3%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
68.7%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+218%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
2º
11º
9º
35
4º
12º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 67 |
1º
|
83% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 59 |
2º
|
35% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 58 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 52 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 52 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 46 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 46 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 45 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
28 | 42 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 39 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 37 |
11º
|
23.5% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 32 |
12º
|
21.5% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 32 |
13º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 28 |
14º
|
29% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 27 |
15º
|
41.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 11 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 5% |
|
Mid-table
|
98% | 95% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén Sub 19 B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
MCF
3 - 2
REA
86%
9%
5%
|
8 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
La Mosca Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LAM
3 - 1
GRA
51%
21%
28%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
LAM
3 - 2
PAV
68%
17%
15%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
CFR
2 - 2
LAM
19%
19%
62%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
LAM
1 - 4
UDM
46%
23%
31%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
LAM
2 - 0
UCD
68%
17%
15%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |