Real Frontera FC vs Ureña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
52.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
9º
13º
10º
32
6º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 21 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Frontera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
URE
2 - 0
FRO
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
FRO
1 - 2
HFF
38%
28%
34%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2024 |
FLD
3 - 2
FRO
37%
26%
38%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
FRO
1 - 5
YAR
26%
27%
48%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
ARA
0 - 1
FRO
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
URE
2 - 0
FRO
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ARA
3 - 1
URE
29%
27%
44%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2024 |
URE
2 - 3
HFF
54%
25%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
URE
1 - 1
FLD
64%
22%
14%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
TRU
0 - 0
URE
35%
26%
39%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |