Real Estelí vs UNAN Managua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
10.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
MAN
3 - 0
EST
40%
25%
35%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2022 |
JUV
0 - 0
EST
28%
26%
47%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
RES
3 - 1
EST
57%
23%
21%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
EST
0 - 0
RES
39%
25%
37%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
CDS
0 - 0
EST
29%
27%
45%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
UNAN Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
UNA
3 - 0
MFC
40%
25%
36%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
UNA
2 - 1
JUV
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
CDS
5 - 0
UNA
62%
22%
17%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
JAP
3 - 3
UNA
35%
27%
37%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2022 |
UNA
1 - 2
DIR
19%
25%
57%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | -1 |