Real Estelí vs UNAN Managua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
12%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.2%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.1%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
6.9%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
EST
2 - 0
JAP
69%
20%
11%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
EST
1 - 1
DIR
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
JUV
1 - 3
EST
24%
26%
51%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
MAN
3 - 0
EST
42%
25%
33%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
DIR
0 - 0
EST
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
UNAN Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
WAL
1 - 1
UNA
77%
16%
7%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
UNA
3 - 5
REA
41%
24%
35%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
UNA
1 - 0
JAP
43%
25%
33%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
UNA
0 - 2
CDS
55%
22%
23%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
JAP
1 - 1
UNA
50%
25%
25%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |