Clausura Nicaragua Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Real Estelí vs UNAN Managua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
15.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2017 |
UNA
0 - 1
EST
37%
26%
37%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
DIR
0 - 3
EST
32%
28%
41%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
JUV
1 - 2
EST
39%
26%
35%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
EST
3 - 0
REA
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
CFC
1 - 3
EST
27%
27%
46%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
UNAN Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2017 |
UNA
0 - 1
EST
37%
26%
37%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
UNA
1 - 1
JUV
48%
24%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
NFC
0 - 5
UNA
28%
25%
47%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
UNA
1 - 5
WAL
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
UNA
5 - 0
CDS
71%
19%
11%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |