Real Estelí vs UNAN Managua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
12.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
DEP
0 - 3
EST
33%
28%
38%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
DIR
0 - 0
EST
45%
28%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
EST
2 - 1
DIR
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2015 |
EST
3 - 1
JAP
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
JAP
1 - 0
EST
30%
30%
40%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
UNAN Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
MAN
3 - 3
UNA
63%
22%
16%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
UNA
2 - 2
JUV
39%
25%
36%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2015 |
JAP
2 - 0
UNA
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
FVI
1 - 1
UNA
24%
23%
54%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2015 |
UNA
0 - 0
WAL
25%
27%
48%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | +1 |