Real Estelí vs Sport Sébaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
10.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
2º
5º
2º
19
5º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 40 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
EST
0 - 1
WAL
56%
22%
22%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
EST
3 - 1
DEP
81%
13%
5%
|
68 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
JAP
1 - 1
EST
13%
24%
63%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
EST
1 - 2
WAL
57%
24%
20%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2022 |
WAL
2 - 3
EST
43%
26%
32%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sport Sébaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CDS
1 - 2
WAL
27%
27%
47%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
JUV
1 - 1
CDS
47%
24%
30%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
CDS
0 - 5
MAN
43%
26%
30%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
CDS
1 - 0
JAP
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
CDS
0 - 3
DIR
26%
26%
48%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |