Real Estelí vs Real Madriz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
7.5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2022 |
EST
3 - 3
CDS
67%
21%
13%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
EST
4 - 1
DEP
74%
17%
8%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2022 |
WAL
2 - 3
EST
35%
26%
39%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
EST
3 - 0
UNA
74%
18%
8%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
EST
1 - 4
DIR
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Real Madriz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2022 |
REA
0 - 2
WAL
21%
25%
54%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
CDS
1 - 1
REA
47%
24%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2022 |
REA
1 - 0
MAN
17%
24%
58%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2022 |
DIR
3 - 0
REA
75%
17%
8%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
JAP
0 - 1
REA
37%
26%
37%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |