Copa Nicaragua Last 16
Global 5-1
Real Estelí vs Matiguás analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.6%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
9%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.1%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.4%
4.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
DIR
2 - 0
EST
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
EST
2 - 1
DIR
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
EST
5 - 1
DEP
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
DEP
0 - 2
EST
22%
26%
51%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
EST
1 - 0
MFC
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Matiguás
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
MTG
1 - 1
EST
5%
11%
84%
|
25 | 68 | 43 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
CFC
0 - 0
MTG
11%
15%
74%
|
25 | 7 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
MAN
4 - 0
MTG
92%
6%
3%
|
26 | 64 | 38 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
MTG
2 - 0
MAN
5%
11%
84%
|
24 | 63 | 39 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
UNA
8 - 2
MTG
82%
12%
7%
|
24 | 50 | 26 | 0 |