Real Estelí vs Matagalpa FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
17.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
1º
3º
1º
7
7º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
14 | 17 |
1º
|
51% | |
|
1º
|
16 | 16 |
2º
|
31% | |
|
3º
|
14 | 15 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 14 |
4º
|
53.5% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 13 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 9 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
7 | 8 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
91% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
73.5% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
26.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
WAL
1 - 2
EST
30%
26%
44%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
EST
5 - 0
RSA
76%
16%
9%
|
67 | 7 | 60 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
DIR
3 - 2
EST
56%
22%
23%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
EST
1 - 1
DIR
43%
24%
33%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
CDS
0 - 2
EST
25%
23%
52%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Matagalpa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 1
DEP
41%
25%
34%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
DIR
6 - 0
MFC
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
DIR
3 - 2
MFC
74%
16%
10%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
MFC
4 - 0
DEP
25%
21%
54%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +2 |
| 15 Jul. 2024 |
DEP
2 - 1
MFC
32%
23%
45%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |