Real Estelí vs Matagalpa FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
14.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
2º
5º
2º
25
1º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 40 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
GUE
0 - 1
EST
6%
12%
82%
|
68 | 11 | 57 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
UNA
1 - 1
EST
15%
23%
62%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
DIR
2 - 3
EST
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
EST
2 - 0
MAN
61%
22%
16%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
EST
1 - 0
JUV
76%
16%
8%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Matagalpa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
BRP
0 - 1
MFC
6%
12%
81%
|
54 | 17 | 37 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MAN
3 - 0
MFC
58%
22%
19%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
MFC
3 - 0
UNA
53%
24%
24%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
WAL
0 - 1
MFC
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MFC
2 - 0
DEP
57%
23%
21%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |